The Age of Civil Unrest
All governments had better open their eyes for we are on the brink of a major convergence between both the Cycle of Civil Unrest, Civil War & Revolution and International War. Both of these models converge and as I pointed out at the Cycles of War Conference, this is the first time we have seen this convergence since the 1700s.
This is no plain modern event with civil unrest erupting because of an interconnected world. These are grassroots uprisings cross-fertilized perhaps from a world contagion yet they often have similarities – corrupt governments. Turkey, Ukraine, Thailand, Venezuela and Bosnia-Herzegovina are all middle-income democracies with elected leaders besieged by people angry at misgovernment, corruption and economic sclerosis. These days it is no longer just dictators who have something to fear from the crowd. This is the promise of Marxism that centralized planning and false promises are coming home and governments are too corrupt and incompetent to deliver what they have claimed for decades.
Communism is dead. The socialistic agendas that have lined the pockets of government and filled the coffers of banks is over. The national debts are on average composed of 70% interest payments not programs to help the poor as marketed. The debts that keep growing with no intent upon paying anyone back are draining the national productivity and turning the people into economic slaves. The standard of living has declined and it now takes two incomes to survive where one use to be just fine. Women won the right to work and lost the right to stay home.
The promises that you save for the future have collapsed into dust as interest rates have been driven lower making savings utterly worthless. There is no such thing as saving and living off your fixed income. The elderly are being driven back into the work force and the whole ideas that a generation believed in are vanishing before their eyes.
So it is no longer communists and dictators that are the targets. All governments are now the targets and when the economy turns down after 2015.75, the threat of civilization will be pulled apart by the self-interest of politicians clinging to power to the detriment of the people.
Thailand on Brink of Civil War on the 41 Year Cycle
The Thai Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra faces impeachment within a matter of weeks. However, her supporters are reported planning to challenge any move to dismiss her by arming militias. This is right on schedule with the 41 year cycle in Revolution for Thailand. The democratic process seems to be declining. The last Thai Revolution was October 14, 1973. The popular uprising of known as the “October 14 Event”; or “Day of Great Sorrow”, was a watershed event in Thailand’s history. The uprising resulted in the end of the ruling military dictatorship and altered the Thai political system. Notably, it highlighted the growing influence of Thai university students in politics.
Previously, there was the Siamese Revolution of 1932 that was really a Siamese Coup d’état. The Revolution of 1932 was a crucial turning point in Thai history in the 20th century that was nearly bloodless transition on June 24, 1932. The political system of government in Siam was changed from an absolute monarchy to a constitutional monarchy similar to Britain. The revolution was brought about by a comparatively small group of military and civilians, who formed Siam’s first political party known as the Khana Ratsadon (Peoples’ Party). The revolution ended 150 years of absolutism under the Chakri Dynasty and almost 700 years of absolute rule of Kings over Thai history. The Revolution was a product of global historical change as well as social and political changes domestically. The revolution also resulted in the people of Siam being granted their first Constitution.
Putin Exposes West’s Hypocrisy
The stupid argument that Crimea has no right to split from Ukraine to justify sanctions against Russia are really brain-dead. Putin has shown the West’s bombing in Yugoslavia in 1999 to demonstrate that nations split and by force when it serves the purpose of the US and Europe. On this score, he is absolutely correct. Putin has waged a media war against the West on Russian TV and he has exposed the lies and hypocrisy of the Obama Administration. This is a no wining argument for the West and their policies of austerity on Ukraine are equally brain-dead as well. They are more-likely-than-not going to send Ukraine into a massive Great Depression and when the US economy turns down after 2015.75, Russia will walk in and save the day.
The IMF should be stripped of these crazy ideas and power and Ukraine should default on all prior debt just as Europe did after the War and the USA after the American Revolution. The French defaulted on all royal debt prior to its revolution as did Germany after World War I. Ukraine deserves a chance and the USA & IMF are oppressing the people and not allowing them to even raise their head to see the light.
Even Cuba Abandons Communism – When will We?
Marxism fails because central planning fails. You need the people to respond out of their own self-interest rather than government trying to control everything. Cuba has now voted to open to foreign investment proving that communism collapses. But this raises an interesting question. Just why are we all still enemies? As China has articulated best – it needs the USA and the USA needs it. If we could only shake up the stale minds in Washington, perhaps we could move that real one giant step for mankind as Neil Armstrong said when he set foot on the Moon. When will we abandon Marxism and open the door to economic liberty for they have slammed it shut so far in search for taxes. The only people who can open businesses overseas are the big multinationals. Small business is presumed to be just hiding money. Obama’s dream – raise taxes back to where they were before Reagan – 70%. That is the word behind the curtain and he may use war to accomplish that.