Did World War III Start on the Precise Day of the ECM?
Russian warplanes have been targeting rebels trained by the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency exposing US policy placing Moscow and Washington on opposing sides in a Middle East conflict for the first time since the Cold War. This should be a great concern because whatever has been the focus on the precise day of the ECM is what becomes the important event. As the economy in Russia turns down, the government needs a distraction and this is it. We will see the same trend emerge in the USA when the economy turns down for war is necessary to distract the people from the non-establishment candidates for 2016 and the social defaults as well as the need to raise taxes for war.
Gold & Propaganda
QUESTION:
i read your latest
piece on gold…..i see your rationale for inflation not causing gold to
rise but rather an erosion in confidence of government
so if i am reading
you right you see a rise in gold in a semi-rapid fashion for the next
few years as the confidence in government declines now semi-rapidly
so …..what we have here is….
gold up…….
but the reasons not as spoken by the inflation gold guys
is this correct…
I thank you for your time
T
ANSWER:
Exactly. It is critical that if you buy gold based upon inflation then
you will lose money when that idea proves you wrong and you will not get
out when you should. You will donate to the professionals and make the
bankers rich. It is important to understand what moves a market for only
then will you enter and exist without losing your shirt. Why hold
something that declines for several years and waste all your efforts and
resources on something that you could have made a lot of money in a
different market and then return to gold with a lot more cash buying low
rather than high. Of course if you do not want to be accused of
manipulating markets, then BUY HIGH and SELL LOW. The bankers will send you a Christmas card maybe.
If you just run a correlation of inflation to gold you
will see that gold does not respond simply to changes in money supply.
You can say I am wrong all you like. But the numbers are the numbers.
Gold has not yet exceeded the 1980 high adjusted for inflation. Cars I
bought back then are more than 300% today. Gold would have to be about
$2700 to match that today compared to a German car. The Dow was 1000 in
1980 but it reached the 18500 area and gold would have had to rally to
$16,000 to match that. So explain that one. Why fight the trend? It
makes no sense. Is this about making a good trade, or trying to prove
some theory is correct?
Even the argument for hyperinflation these gold
promoters do not understand and have brainwashed people so they get mad
at me instead of getting pissed off at the clowns who duped them. They
assume the cart is before the horse and that gold would rise BECAUSE
of an increase in money supply. But when you look closely, the German
Hyperinflation was a communist revolution. Any one with money hoarded
and did not deposit it in banks. The money supply increased BECAUSE confidence declined FIRST.
These promoters screw everything up just to sell gold and tell any
story for they are not analysts, they are selling something no different
than a used car salesman. It is always CONFIDENCE that collapses and that causes government to increase money supply.
Right now, Congress pushed off the debt ceiling they
thought until December. Treasury says it will run out of money by
November, one month before the politicians assumed. They have noted that
tax revenues are dropping rapidly. These morons cannot figure out that
raising taxes reduces net disposable income and that means lower GDP and
higher unemployment.
The rise in gold will come ONLY when
people start to realize we are in a lot of trouble here economically.
The dates we have provided in the reports. Others say I am wrong and
that people are buying gold in record numbers. It is amazing how people
can’t get this in their head. China is turning down. Now the say the Fed
will have to go into QE4 so buy gold, It gold declined after 2011 with
constant QE and in Euros we are now in the second year of QE there, this
argument is just wrong.
Each population measure wealth in terms of their own
currency; not in dollars. So if you you want to fool yourself, go ahead.
Are you just repeating what the promoters are telling you? Others will
sell or buy based upon their home currency. You do not see gold making
new highs in anything. The test of a REAL bull market
is new highs in all currencies – not just one. You do not buy gold
because it is rising in Mexico peso. You buy only when it makes a profit
in your own currency. Profits are personal based upon your home
currency.
Gold – Money Supply – Media
QUESTION: Hello Martin,
First let me say thank you for all that you do keeping us informed on the markets and geopolitical events.
I’ve been an avid reader of yours for many years and especially your typed correspondence during the years of incarceration.
My question pertains to today’s “Gold and Money Supply” article. Since gold will only rise during a crisis in government, do you consider gold a leading indicator and if so would the precious metal then rise in value ahead of main stream media letting the public know we are in trouble?
ANSWER: Gold will rise when confidence in government declines. It did not respond to the rise in money supply, it responded because people feared the banking system would collapse. Once that fear abated, gold declined from 2011 yet money supply doubled. So the brainwashed keep harping on money supply and gold relationship. Gold declined for 19 years while money supply increased following 1980. How wrong do you have to be and for how long before one admits it?
The object here is to survive; not to tout some theory that is wrong and then blame paper gold and manipulation. They always like paper gold in bull markets though and it is amazing how when gold rises its never manipulated but real and all declines are manipulation. If gold was systemically manipulated, then it should be the only market down. Proof that clipping markets (manipulation) is different from systemically manipulating something is the fact that ALL commodities are in a bear market. Gold is in the trend of decline for the moment. No big deal.
Gold will rally when we see the same crack in confidence in the banks and government. Mainstream media will preach the opposite as they always do for they are part of the political establishment – not free press. So when they say its a false rally, no worries, they are usually wrong 100% of the time. So it is hard to say it is a leading indicator. It is an indicator of a serious decline in confidence whether or not the media even understands that.
Right now, everyone is turning bullish assuming once again the jobs number will mean that QE4 will come so gold must rise. Perhaps this is necessary to sucker everyone in for the final low. The Benchmarks are still the target. Yet gold in this role will rise when the ECM turns down, not up. It declined from the 2011 low moving into 2015.75. So it remains a matter of time and price right now.
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