Did Cycle Theory Begin With The Discovery of a Rhinoceros?
This clash has often been a heated emotional issue. The idea that systems just collapse in a catastrophic manner can be disquieting to say the least. For this reason, uniformitarianism soothes the senses and brings order to the future dominated by uncertainty.
A new discovery in Siberia of frozen extinct cave lions brings to mind the origin of cycle theory. These two clashing schools of thought lie at the core of just about everything, from the Big Bang to Charles Darwin’s (1809-1882) theory of evolution of change and survival of the fittest (aside from ape to man). This began with a discovery in 1772 near Vilui, Siberia, of an intact frozen woolly Rhinoceros, followed by the more famous discovery of a frozen mammoth in 1787. You may be shocked, but these discoveries of frozen animals with grass still in their stomach set in motion these two schools of thought since the evidence implied you could be eating lunch and suddenly find yourself frozen and only to be discovered by posterity.
George Hoggart Toulmin in his rare 1785 book, “The Eternity of the World“ captured best the sense of the discovery that set cycle theory in motion.
” ••• convulsions and revolutions violent beyond our experience or conception, yet unequal to the destruction of the globe, or the whole of the human species, have both existed and will again exist ••• [terminating] ••• an astonishing succession of ages.”
(Toulmin 1785, 3)
Yet the catastrophists could claim greater influence in the birth of the field of physics. Sir Isaac Newton (1642-1727) developed his laws of gravity and was inspired by his friend Edmund Halley (1656-1742), who underwrote the project, to publish the work. This was the same Halley who discovered the cyclical nature of comets. Halley believed that the comet that carries his name was the same comet reappearing throughout history at regular intervals recorded by contemporary historians of all ages. Halley saw, hidden within history, the same periodic intervals of a comet. Christiaan Huygens (1629-1695) discovered that light traveled, not in a uniform motion as a straight line, but in a cyclical pulsating motion of cyclical waves, albeit at a constant speed. Suddenly, there could be a steady uniformity to the speed of light, yet simultaneously, there was a violent swing of extremes within it taking place in a cyclical manner. This was the same pattern that emerged in the ice core samples. There may appear to be uniformity in the macro world, but cyclical violent swings at the micro level that could erupt catastrophically.
The latest discovery of the frozen cave lion illustrates that climate can change abruptly and has been part of a natural cycle long before man started using combustion engines in the 1920s. Nevertheless, the agenda government pays these academics for is to raise taxes. Now, many states where taxes on energy has declined are moving to tax per mile driven and others are preparing to tax your use of the sun with solar panels since they are replacing power usage. They even want to tax electric cigarettes now. It’s always just about the money. They need excuses to pretend otherwise.
Le Pen vs Merkel & Hollande at the European Parliament
Le
Pen warns that France is subservient to Germany. She stands for
independence and sovereignty, which is the cornerstone of the French
Constitution. Hollande argues that they are creating a single Europe
because of two wars, but he cannot see that this dictatorship is indeed
creating massive discontent, which creates the risk of war. Le Pen
states that the massive invasion of refugees is insane.
Hollande
& Merkel fail to grasp that a successful Europe does not require
one government and one cultural policy nor one currency with one debt.
Europe should be the freedom of movement, free trade, but not one
government. Even in the USA, there are rumblings of separatism for one
policy in Washington that is against the culture of one state. Such
dominant central governments have never survived. Even in Germany,
Bavaria sees itself as Bavarian first and Germen second. The sovereignty
of people should be respected.
Socrates Update
We will be putting on Videos shortly. Because of the Conference and the exceptional amount of people attending since we are only having one in the States and one in Europe, we have delayed the release until the week after the conference simply because the staff are really busy. We intended to release it before the conference, but with the number of people attending, it is best to focus their attention on the Conference and servicing the attendees.
We will be using part of the Socrates Platform at the Conference.
Welcome to the 2015 WEC – Agenda
Video Player
Real Estate Outlook
For all those interested in real estate, we have prepared a major report on world real estate. This report will be handed out for the conferences in Princeton and Berlin. After the conferences, the report will be available for sale to the general public.
World Population
QUESTION: Do you think the world is overpopulated and that is the problem?
ANSWER: Anyone who has flown around the world and looked out the window knows that there are vast areas where humankind does not exist. We actually only occupy about 3% of the landmass, and 29% to 40% of that is just wilderness. If you took the 7.2 billion people living on this planet and put them in a pile, it would not even fill the Grand Canyon. Even if we took everyone who ever existed and threw them into the pile (106 billion people) it still would not come close to filling it.
Market Manipulations: The Greatest Scam of All TIME
Throughout history, there has NEVER been a market manipulated TO ALTER its long-term trend – PERIOD. If this were remotely true, then communism would not have collapsed since that was the attempt to eliminate the business cycle. The Swiss peg would not have collapsed, nor would Bretton Woods have collapsed, or anything else in history that has attempt to eliminate the business cycle.
It is total nonsense that people even dare to entertain the idea that anything can be manipulated to alter its long-term trend. In the movie “The Forecaster”, a former employee said that before he joined the firm he did his due diligence and called the people at Goldman Sachs to ask about me. They said that they “thought” they could “crush” me but I “usually won.”
PhiBro walked across the ring in September, and this time showed me their orders for Buffet to try to convince me to join them. My models showed that a pop was possible at that time. I did not join, and instead, stepped away. I warned our clients that the target was $7 by January. Their manipulation succeeded, but it forced Buffet to come out and admit he put in $1 billion to buy silver and then quietly sold out afterwards.
The evidence that was a SHORT-TERM manipulation that still could not alter the long-term trend is demonstrated by the charts below. Yes, silver rallied, but gold declined. Claims that silver is manipulated today because it has declined more than many other commodities are nonsense. Evidence of a manipulation must be a counter-trend move. Even the Japanese government lost $1.3 trillion trying to support the Nikkei. They failed. The Chinese government has tried to support their stock market. It has failed.
The amount of capital that will trade against anything that moves against its long-term trend is endless. If you really believe all this nonsense, then you better trade a different market. Why buy something that is manipulated and can never rally? It makes no sense.
There is no secret plot to keep gold down to pretend inflation is lower. Gold has NEVER correlated with inflation and it is such a tiny market that it has no relevance to concerns of inflation when we are in a massive deflationary mode. Just look at all commodities.
Get over it if you really want to survive the years ahead. If you do not invest on reality, you will never exit and will hold on to losing positions because people are swearing they are right; it’s someone else that makes the market decline. This is not the way to survive.
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