Cherry Hill NJ Debut is Open to All Readers August 1st at 5PM
We will be holding a special one-time event for our clients meaning all interested readers only. This is not a general public event so not advertising outside of this blog. We will be showing “The Forecaster” on Saturday, August 1, 2015, with a question and answer session afterwards in Cherry Hill, NJ. The time will be 5 PM. This is a one-time event. The producers are flying in from Germany as well.
Obviously, seating is limited. Tickets will be sold on a first come, first served basis. Tickets are set at normal theater prices of just $15 each.
Please allow up to five business days for your purchase to process. At that time, we will e-mail your ticket(s) to the e-mail address associated with your PayPal account. We do not have the ability to send confirmation e-mails, so please take the e-mail you receive from PayPal as confirmation that we have received and are processing your payment.
Talks with Greece Collapse
The EU is simply self-destructive. There is no way merging all these economies together without the debt consolidation from the outset was workable. The Euro will collapse and break apart. Brussels is just brain-dead. They cannot force austerity upon the rest of Europe with the upcoming economic decline. Talks at a EU Summit with Greece collapsed.
Yet in a sign that a dramatic Greek exit from the euro would not happen Sunday, a full summit of the European Union’s 28 leaders was cancelled. Instead, the Euroland’s 19 leaders, including Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, will meet Sunday afternoon to assess the outcome of the finance ministers meeting and plot a further way ahead. The real question is WHY has Less than a week after they triumphantly gave international creditors a bloody nose by rejecting a harsh austerity plan, angry and bewildered Greeks are left wondering how they now find themselves swallowing an even worse deal under the leadership of Alexis Tsipras?
There is nobody in charge here but lawyers. There is no one with any real world experience in the world economy to have a clue about what they are trying to sustain by sheer force.
Maunder Minimum – Petri Dish of Political Change
Well the Global Warming pretend scientists are desperately trying to keep their funding. Now these con-artists are trying to claim that that it is just the surface water of the oceans that is cooling and the below the water is warming. When they stop driving cars and walk to work or ride a bicycle, then perhaps they are speaking at least what they believe rather than crying the planet is warming and we need to hand them billions of dollars to figure out some new technology to reverse the trend.
Meanwhile, real scientistwho study the cyclical movement within nature are observing what we have been warning about – acoming Ice Age not global warming. We should see the collapse in temperatures faster than we suspect for it will mimic a Waterfall Eventin our market terminology. This is the true nature of how things simply move. Real scientists are starting to warn that we will see temperatures plummet by 2030. We are entering the Maunder Minimum Petri Dish of Political Change that nobody seems to comprehend the political ramifications ahead.
During my European tour, I packed only summer closes. I had to go but sweaters for it rarely went over 60 degrees Fahrenheit (15 Celsius). It did not get warm until Italy and Spain.
Our model tracks everything including climate for that too is a major influence within the development if the global economy. It just seems that whatever could go wrong is going to go wrong in the coming 26 years from 2007 in many areas so the other side of 2032.95 is going to be a different world. BTW, Global Warming peaked in 2007. So for all the supporter of Global Warming, try doing as you preach. Give up your cars and start walking. Do as you preach.
The real problem is not Global Warming but Global Cooling. In fact, we are in crash mode. Our model confirms that as we move into the end of this current wave 2032.95, the other side of that appears to be a very serious famine that changes the political landscape as took place in the period known as the Maunder Minimum. This is a serious forecast for during the last such period, the further north you are the higher the probability of starvation. Indeed Prussia lost 40% of its population to famine at that time and Scotland lost about 15%.
Maunder Minimum is also known as the “prolonged sunspot minimum”, which was a period starting in about 1645 and continuing to about 1715 when sunspots became exceedingly rare, as noted by solar observers of the time. Consequently, based upon running the data through our model, it appears that this is crashing faster than at any time previously. This would tend to warn that we may exceed the record of deaths of the 16th century and that is not good news. Yet this is just nature’s way of trimming back the population hitting control-alt-delete in computer terms.
During the last Maunder Minimum in 17th century, longer winters and cooler summers disrupted growing seasons and destroyed harvests all across Europe. This was the coldest century in a period of glacial expansion that lasted from the early 14th century until the mid-19th century. The summer of 1641 was the third-coldest recorded over the past six centuries in Europe and the winter of 1641-42 was the coldest ever recorded in Scandinavia.
The Maunder Minimum produced an unusual cold trend which lasted from the 1620s until the 1690s most intensely and included ice on both the Bosporus and the Baltic so thick that people could walk from one side to the other. So much for Global Warming pundits who are putting out such bogus research it is amazing. This crowd of con-artists have created such propaganda that the world population is totally unprepared and by the time they figure out these people are bullshitting everyone to get grant money, it will be too late to prepare for the onslaught. We could realistically see famine reach the 33%-50% mortality level after 2032.95.
The Maunder Minimumcreated such a deep cold in Europe and extreme weather events elsewhere that what unfolds is a series of droughts, floods and harvest failures. Historically, this leads to massive migrations, wars and revolutions. The fatal synergy between human and natural disasters eradicated perhaps one-third of the human population during the last event and this time we are crashing more rapidly than before. Therefore, we may exceed more than a reduction in population of one-third and reach the levels of the 14th century of 50%, which was also combined with the Black Plague.
What took place during the 17th century suggests that altered weather conditions can have catastrophic political and social consequences. Political systems are already in crash mode with BIG BANG. Add to this, the crisis we see in weather cycles and this will be augmented by unpredictable crises involving water, food, energy supply chains and public health. States will unquestionably collapse as famine could overtake large populations and flood or disease could cross borders and lead to internal instability or international conflict.
There were three primary factors at work globally during the 17th century which combined to produce chaos. There were increases involcanic eruptions, twice as many El Niño episodes (unusually warm ocean conditions along the tropical west coast of South America), and the virtual disappearance of sunspots, reducing solar output to warm the Earth. These three forced combined are acknowledge by real Earth science.
The 17th century saw a proliferation of wars, civil wars and rebellions and more cases of state breakdown around the globe than any previous or subsequent age. This was the Petri Dish that brewed the revolution against monarchy that would give birth to the American and French revolutions. Just in the year 1648, rebellions paralyzed both Russia (the largest state in the world) and France (the most populous state in Europe); civil wars broke out in Ukraine, England and Scotland; and irate subjects in Istanbul (Europe’s largest city) strangled Sultan Ibrahim.
The Maunder Minimum did not cause all the catastrophes alone during the 17th century, but it most certainly exacerbated many of them. Outbreaks of disease, especially smallpox and plague erupted as was the case during the previous episode that saw the Black Plague wipe out 50% of the population. Plagues correlate to periods when harvests were poor or failed. When an uprising by Irish Catholics on Oct. 23, 1641, drove the Protestant minority from their homes, no one had foreseen a severe cold snap, with heavy frost and snow at a time and in a place that rarely has snow. Thousands of Protestants died of exposure, turning a political protest into a massacre that cried out for vengeance. Oliver Cromwell would later use that episode to justify his brutal campaign to restore Protestant supremacy in Ireland. This was the period of the British Civil War with the Puritans beheading the Catholic king Charles I.
The Maunder Minimum did take a more direct toll as weather turned bitterly cold. Western Europe experienced the worst harvest of the century in 1648. Rioting broke out in Sicily, Stockholm and elsewhere when bread prices spiked. In the Alps, poor growing seasons became the norm in the 1640s, and records document the disappearance of fields, farmsteads and even whole villages as glaciers advanced to the farthest extent since the last Ice Age. One consequence of crop failures and food shortages stands out in French military records: Soldiers born in the second half of the 1600s were, on average, an inch shorter than those born after 1700, and those born in the famine years were noticeably shorter than the rest.
The Maunder Minimum impacted the entire planet for very few areas of the world survived the 17th century unscathed by extreme weather. Even in China, a combination of droughts and disastrous harvests, coupled with rising tax demands and cutbacks in government programs, unleashed a wave of banditry and chaos; starving Manchu clansmen from the north undertook a brutal conquest that lasted a generation. In 1644, peasant rebels led by Li Zicheng conquered the Ming capital Beijing. Rather than serve them, Ming general Wu Sangui made an alliance with the Manchus and opened the Shanhai Pass to the Banner Armies led by Prince Dorgon, who defeated the rebels and seized Beijing. The conquest of China proper was not completed until 1683 under the Kangxi Emperor (r. 1661–1722).
North America and West Africa both experienced famines and savage wars. In India, drought followed by floods killed over a million people in Gujarat between 1627 and 1630. In Japan, a mass rebellion broke out on the island of Kyushu following several poor harvests. Five years later, famine, followed by an unusually severe winter, killed perhaps 500,000 Japanese.
The famines that hit India wiped-out millions weakening the population and the economy whereas India had been the Financial Capitol of the World after the Byzantine Empire’s collapse in 1453 to the rise of Islam. Following this devastating Maunder Minimum period of the 1600s, we can see that India fell as the Financial Capitol of the World handing that crown to China. India was ripe for the picking. In the first half of the 18th century, the British were a trading presence at certain points along the coast of India. From the 1750s, the British began to wage war on land in eastern and south-eastern India and to reap the reward of successful warfare, which was the exercise of political power, notably over the rich province of Bengal. By the end of the century British rule had been consolidated over the first conquests and it was being extended up the Ganges valley to Delhi and over most of the peninsula of southern India. The British then turned to China and eventually established Hong Kong, which was handed back in 1998.
No human intervention can avert the Maunder Minimumor volcanic eruptions, halt an El Niño episode or delay the onset of drought, despite the possibility that each could cause starvation, economic dislocation and political instability. So sorry. I do not ask for donations to prevent this from unfolding. We do possess both the resources and the technology to prepare for them. It is possible to grow food in your basement without land. Hydroponics may become a very valuable asset.
In the 17th century, the fatal synergy of weather, wars and rebellions killed millions amounting to about one-third of the population. A natural catastrophe of analogous proportions today would kill billions. It would also produce dislocation and violence, and compromise international security, sustainability and cooperation. Country borders will more likely change and vanish altogether. This is part of our forecast why the USA will break-up after 2032.95.
So while we argue over Global Warming, we should look at history rather than fake research that attributes everything to the invention of the combustion engine dating at the start of the 20th century and respect that there just may be long-term cycles at work that can be documented from real data. If history repeats, the Global Warming crowd will be the first to go since they will be totally unrepentant and unprepared.
Japan turns to robotic suit HAL (hybrid assisted limb) as Work Force Ages
Japan has a real problem. Its population is just over 127 million and the new births are just 1 million annually.Japan is a country with one of the highest rates of people living past their 100th birthday while the youth are not even dating no less marrying and having children. The youth has virtually just stopped having kids almost altogether. This trend is impacting many countries, but not to the extent of Japan. As the economy turns down, people do not want children that they feel they cannot afford to raise.
Japan’s population at the current trend will decline by 20 million as they reach 2040. This is causing huge problems for they need workers to work longer in life to keep up production. Cyberdyne is coming to the rescue creating the scaled down version of their full-body robotic suit HAL (hybrid assisted limb) introduced in 2013. They are partnering with the airport to assist elderly workers handle heavier loads.
Greece – Selling Out to the Establishment
Alexis Tsipras, Prime Minister of Greece, has sold his country out to the failed ideas of the Euro. There is no possible way for this deal to work for it will bring only more austerity to Greece which will continue to grind its economy to a halt. Raising taxes will not create jobs and it will not restore Greece as a workable economy.
What is being ignored here is simply that Greece is just the canary in the coal mine. It is the first to dye from a system of excessive debt and rising taxes. This is the trend in all Western economies and untilBIG BANG, our present flock of world leaders are just brain-dead when it comes to economics. They have all viewed the people as worthless sheep who are their to serve them. We take it every time. Even though the people in Greece gave a resounding referendum, even Tsipras interprets it to his own advantage and selling his own country to Brussels for a handful of silver coins.
The Greek PM says that his government has a strong mandate to complete negotiations with its creditors towards a viable solution. Yet there is no viable solution. The more his hunts down money to tax, the less economic activity will emerge and their tax revenues will continue to decline making their assumptions the dreams of fools.
Even a group of economists have pleaded with Merkel: “Madam Chancellor, we ask you to take on the vital leadership role.” They have called upon the federal government to a turnaround on their Greece policies. In an open letter to German Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU) they call for a restructuring of the Greek debt in order to prevent an existential crisis of the EU and a further deterioration of the situation in Greece. In her letter she warned of a “disaster”.
Economists call urgently an end to the austerity policy. “The prescribed medicine has let bleed the patient, but not cured of the disease,” criticizing Thomas Piketty, Jeffrey Sachs, former State Secretary at the Ministry of Economic Affairs, Heiner Flassbeck, and two other economists in the letter. Creditors must therefore draw “a course correction” into consideration.
Greece in particular needs a “substantial reduction” of its debt burden. Economists remember in its letter to the situation in Germany in the fifties, when a debt laid the foundation for the German economic recovery.
Of course Merkel ignored the letter for it is against her personal career. Yet what we must understand is this is by no means unique to Greece. This is the start of BIG BANG and as the rest of Western nations raise taxes, the economy is about to fall off a cliff and they bring economic activity into a swan-dive. They will, as always, blame the private sector. We can see this decline coming as long-term bonds crashed from May, liquidity has collapsed, and there is excess cash in the short-end keeping interest rates low ensuring we will see not just municipalities decline into a debt crisis like Detroit, but we are staring in the eyes of death insofar as pensions are concerned. Politicians are good for only (1) lies, (2) corruption, (3) debt, (4) taxes, and (5) death and war. As Ben Franklin said – the two things that are certain has been death and taxes.
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