New Global Market Watch Up and Running
The New Global Market Watch is up. You can click on the link below and then click of any individual market in the GMW page. This will take you to the second level for a more detailed look at that market. While this is not perfect, it is purely a pattern recognition model that will then by fed into the next level of analysis. This is a cognitive learning machine. Therefore, of new patterns emerge that produce different results, it will note those changes and build upon that experience and adapt to it for the future. In this manner, it is truly a cognitive learning machine that improves with time.
You will have to register for this site. However, we do NOT sell any names to anyone. We will not bombard you with spam. We respect your privacy at all times.
The next step will be to add the third level where you will be able to obtain the computer written report on that market with charts and new Forecasting Arrays that are expanded showing three versions of volatility Overnight – Intraday – Close-to-close. This will enable you to ascertain how the market will move for each day and what to expect.
The fourth level to be added will be the MAP where the computer plots out the resistance and support levels in each market so you can see the gaps where big sharp moves will take place. This will also provide the Reversal that are projected above or below a market where there has never been price action. This is essential to be able to project major highs. This was the model that projected the highs in 1987 as well as the Nikkei in 1989 not to forget gold and silver into 1980.
The fifth level will be the Global Correlation Models. This is where the computer will then project the resistance, support, buy and sell signals for each market expressed in various currencies. Then, we filter this through our global cyclical models to provide the real turning points that are impacted by capital flows internationally.
The sixth level brings in the Asset ALLOCATION Models where that market fits within the individual asset class and the projection for that instrument to be bought or sold.
Riots Getting Worse in Ukraine Right Now
Protests are going on right now in Kiev. The government is using water canons and flash grenades against the youth. The government in power is determined to link with Russia while the youth see their liberty and future vanishing before their eyes. We have people actually on the ground there so this info may not be in the press yet. The movement among the youth is is quite inspiring. Human nature is the same all over. This is what we are seeing with this Cycle of War – Civil Unrest off the charts globally!!!!
One more picture of bullet that was used by riot police in shooting#Euromaidan photo: EuroMaydan #Євромайданpic.twitter.com/HiTGYo1vzQ
Comprehending the Trend in Motion
COMMENT: Like many, panicked out of market in October ’08, (lost on stocks value and currency) and did not get back in properly. Sovereign debt crises globally results in loss of confidence in own currency, but equal loss of confidence in other currencies. Although many talk about deflation, what we see is the constant rise in prices for essentials – food, going to the chemist, fuel and electricity, and local taxes. So to us there is inflation. Interest rates so low we cannot live on it and are eating into capital.
All of the above has turned many into traders, and most do it badly and lose even more money.
All of the above has turned many into traders, and most do it badly and lose even more money.
REPLY: I fully appreciate the problems from many people writing to express their thanks and regret for not finding this blog sooner. These are difficult times. The greatest problem has been people just do not grasp how much the world has really changed since 1971 and the birth of the floating exchange rate system. Paul Volcker, former head of the Federal Reserve, called it theRediscovery of the Business Cycle. Milton Friedman noticed it was possible to have simultaneous inflation yet declining economic growth known as STAGFLATION. We are experiencing massiveDEFLATION but the portion that is rising is the cost of government. Prices are rising because of a cost-push from taxation rather than a demand-boom adding to the whole confusion. This weird trend produces the worse of both worlds. Unfortunately, it will take a Crash & Burn to even get politicians in a position to look at what they are doing. Chances are, even then this is going to be a difficult sales job. They seem to be hell-bent on defending their power with riot police who are insane and appear to be willing to kill their own people for politicians. Yet, history offers a glimmer of hope if the stars are in our favor just for once.
The primary goal of this site is honestly to make you wise before your time. If we look at the world through international value, we can see trends emerge and understand them comprehending that Adam Smith was indeed correct that everyone acts in their own self-interest be it positive or negative. The net effect is the dynamic global economy. Here is a chart of the Dow expressed in Euro. The talking heads that say the market has to crash because it is over-bought, only look at things in dollars. Looking at the European indexes in dollars shows an even greater bull market there that has been driven by currency, which has European’s confused when the economy declines yet the stock markets rally. Without an international comprehension of the global economy, you are only going to lose money and your future for you cannot comprehend the trend in motion.