The Rise & Fall of Empires, Nations, & City States
QUESTION: Marty, I remember you giving a seminar back in the early nineties and you showed a chart of the rise and fall of civilizations with the energy output of the sun long before there was this insistence on global warming. Do you have that chart still?
REPLY: Here it is. It was redone in 2011 adding color. The migrations of human kind has always been driven by the sun. During warm periods, people expand their civilizations. During the sharp declines, war follows for people then concentrate on regions that can support life. As the temperatures collapsed, the Europeans invaded Africa moving back to where they migrated from. They called them the “Sea Peoples”. Evidence has surfaced showing that the Philistines of the Bible may have been these people from Greece after the fall of Mycenae..
Civilization has expanded with periods of global warming and declines with bouts of ice ages. Sorry, this has always been a natural divine cycle – not something created by man to justify taxes.
It looks like we may be headed back to a decline once again. I like global warming. Hate the cold. So I too will migrate south.
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Note: There are now many studies that confirm this chart from many different perspectives. This includes ice core samples to tree rings and sun spots. They all confirm this same pattern regardless of the source. This was originally based on the ice core samples from the North taken in Greenland.
My Apology
Drone Police & Armies are not so Futuristic
COMMENT: Mr Armstrong,
Your futuristic vision of Robot Armies and Robot Police under the control of corrupt politicians is positively nightmarish—not so much Mad Max,more like the Terminator with lots of Terminators around.
Surely such a future facilitates authoritarianism which you claim you don’t want?
Surely such a future facilitates authoritarianism which you claim you don’t want?
JR
REPLY: This is not so futuristic. This is under development right now. In fact, a group of scientists are coming out and objecting to this very trend. This is not for just Sci-Fi movies. They realize that troops will turn against their masters. Their insurance is to eliminate that wildcard. Google and Uber are already working on cars that drive themselves. It becomes an easy step to then turn that into drone police as well.
Orthodox Christianity
A number of people have asked why I posted a greeting to “Orthodox” churches. The Greek Orthodox was based out of Constantinople. They did not follow the revisions under Rome. Consequently, they still follow the Julian Calendar and thus their religious holidays of Christmas and Easter are different from the West. Greek Orthodox includes all Eastern Europe right up to Russia.
Economic Evolution & the Sixth Wave
QUESTIONS: (1)
Mr. Armstrong; I have read theories that this wave of economic evolution you displayed as the sixth wave at the Solution Conference is the transformation from the industrialized world that was based upon commodities to the new age of intellectual development necessitates a new deflationary age in commodities. Some seem to be even delusional claiming that a cryptocurrency can defeat government itself yet overlook the fact that such technology survives only thanks to the power grid. Turn that power grid off and we crash back to a dark age of barter.
While all of these wild ideas are based on only what they see in their little bubble, most of the world is still based back in the agricultural age as you pointed out of the pre-19th century. This I believe is what you are talking about when one segment of the global community accelerates too far beyond the rest making it actually vulnerable since they have lost the knowledge of the basics. Some believe this has happened before in the past in Asia. Others point to the Nasca Lines in Peru that lead them to claim they were the first to invent air travel sometime around the 200BC era and that civilization collapsed into a Dark Age and knowledge evaporated. No one has proof as to who built the Nasca lines and what their function was, but they too have inspired fantastic explanations from ancient gods to a landing strip for returning aliens.
So is this how knowledge just vanishes through these types of crash and burns?
LP
QUESTION: (2) Marty,
I think you should explore how humans are losing their mental ability with the advent of the digitalization.
Just the fact that we are using less and less the ability to write with the hand and a pen is synonimous of a lesser mental ability.
There are countless other examples.
Learning a REAL Musical instrument,a foreign language,painting etc…..are MUCH more important to make our brain more evolved than stupidly spend our lives on facebook and associated useless
pastimes.
pastimes.
I think this is one of the most important in today’s rapidly de-evolving human behaviour.
A German neuroscientist called Manfred Spitzer wrote a great book about this issue : Digital Dementia
This digitalization is making brains less and less able to understand how the world really works and it is making these brain ready to be enslaved.
What do you think about this devolution of human brains?
A German neuroscientist called Manfred Spitzer wrote a great book about this issue : Digital Dementia
This digitalization is making brains less and less able to understand how the world really works and it is making these brain ready to be enslaved.
What do you think about this devolution of human brains?
Mark
ANSWER: Yes. I always found it interesting that the ancient Greeks understood the structure of an atom. Yet somehow knowledge vanished with the fall of Rome. Jews were tolerated for only they could be the captain of the ship because mathematics was seen as the devil’s work that no Christian would dare play with. Bathing stopped because they associated a Roman bath house with prostitutes so bathing vanished until the Crusades. The knowledge that the world was round vanished with the fall of Rome. When Constantinople fell in 1453, scholars fled to Rome and opened schools bringing with them lost knowledge pre-Rome. Columbus did not wake up with a vision the world was round. He was taught that and had Greek maps. This is how you reach a peak in knowledge and then it collapses into ignorance. This is the essence of a Dark Age.
So yes, those who think some new horizon of an age of knowledge will solve all our problems, well sorry - been there done that many times before in human history. Just because the core economy of the West is moving toward electronic currency does not mean the entire world will be there. You always have several stages of the economy historically still present simultaneously. In parts of Africa, money is still cattle.
This economic evolution is like a drop of water hitting a still pool. The waves of innovation move from the center outward. So we may have a highly advanced economy moving into this technology age, but this is the Sixth Wave so there is a real risk that this may be the peak that rise to a fall of Rome event. The evolution of the economy spreads outward always from the center precisely as a real estate boom begins and evolves. This is why we need a reserve currency for not all nations will be at the same economic evolutionary stage. It is impossible to buy something from a less developed nation with electronic money when people there do not even have a computer. They will need some form of tangible money to convert to the electronic reserve.
This is part of the danger when these waves of economic evolution and innovation begin to outpace the majority of the population. You cannot somehow have a two class system that will survive with those who are in some new age of technology and everyone else starving effectively unemployable. This is the struggle of class warfare, which historically never ends nicely. When this epic struggle unfolds at such extremes that is really skill base rather than monetary differences, that is when the classic collapse erupts. This is like the bankers thinking they can just screw society for the rest are too stupid to climb out of the bucket and they rule the world. That is when the lower classes kick the buck and everything goes nuts. This is not truly a monetary struggle, it is driven at the core by their inability to participate in the innovation.
We are on the one hand progressing to technology, but simultaneously we leave behind fundamental skill sets. This leads to the Dark Age – the control-alt-delete sequence when you become over-extended and too remote from the fundamental skill sets. You cannot graduate to the next level which is a technology innovation so great that the bulk of society lacks the skills to make that leap. Technology replaces the low-level jobs and can replace police and military. Manufacture jobs can be replaced which are simply repetitive. What is left for humans? Too big of a gap in skills has always led to disaster. That becomes the Phase Transition where Government usually aggravates the situation. This is when heads come off.
Even the struggle over the liberating power of the Internet is based on its freedom and statelessness. Yet governments are fighting back and seek to regulate this freedom to primarily control free speech, but also taxes. What was an emancipation then conflicts with a government’s foreign policy objectives as well as domestic policy objects to maintain control and taxes. The noble goal of connecting non-Western countries to Western companies and markets that emerged from business, becomes exploited for political purposes of entities like the NSA.
This is the Sixth Wave and the danger of moving into such a new technology age is the deflationary aspect we inject into past technologies. This is one factor why commodities do not keep pace with stocks over long periods of time. There are those who claim gold should be $50,000 based upon such disparities. The Dow low was 42 in 1932 and at 18000 that is a 428% advance. Sure, if you take gold which was $20.67 then, it shoulld be priced at $8.858. The reason it is not there is the result of these waves of economic innovation. Too many people keep judging the world by the last wave.
Copper has not advanced percentage-wise from the Great Depression the same as equities. As we move toward the computer driven era and the age of wireless communications emerges, we need less and less copper wire to connect people. In 20 years, land-lines to homes will become obsolete entirely. Many now use cell phones as their primary phone eliminating land-lines.
No matter what commodity we look at the same result jumps out. Everything from wheat to silver has not appreciated in value in proportion to equities. This is all part of the different focuses we move through with each progressive wave of innovation.
We can see what has happened to agriculture as a industry. Where physical labor was once the core of the economy, the Great Depression altered that and forced a change in skills. Our danger today in this Sixth Wave is that we are collapsing the need for labor, which contributes to the extraordinary high in youth unemployment in Europe. Education is also far behind the technology curve and 65% of graduates cannot find employment in what they have a degree. So what is the point of education?
The Sixth Wave presents tremendous challenges. This is not a walk in the park to some glorified new age of knowledge driven economies. You cannot leave behind the majority. There has to be backward compatibility for the economy must relate backwards to the other types of economies which will still dominate the outward circle of economies the further you move from the center. Backward compatibility is critical in software. Windows 8 was a disaster. Windows 8.1 had to return the familiar menu system. We cannot leap forward disregarding the last innovation. When you do, you get tremendous conflict and the control-alt-delete reset.
Highest Impertinence of Kings & Ministers
QUESTION: HI, Martin;
I am reading your articles. I read you consider that the swiss proposal is ”a stupid idea”.
Ok with that. But if governments start to take all credit away from banks: can this be a signal that a global debt forgiveness is coming for a “global reset” ?
Or not necessary?
is it possible that for a transition to a new monetary framework a radical solution is being prepared and these are the signals of that coming?
Or am I just dreaming?
Thanks in advance.
Best regards
ANSWER: Adam Smith observed that it was always the highest impertinence of kings and ministers to pretend to watch over the private credit of the people when they are incapable of managing themselves. These ideas are not the preparation for a reset, they are proposals coming from people who THINK fractional banking in the problem and argue government should take over that decision of who gets a loan. This is just another step toward totalitarianism. They are not planning on a global debt default or they would not be hunting money so desperately. We cannot continue down this path for there is nothing left after they destroy the synergy that binds individuals together into a civilization. The default comes when they run out of options and the MAJORITY realize the gig is up.