Ukraine – Strategic From Every Side
All our sources confirm that Russia pulled out all the stops to get Ukraine on its side besides taking $15 billion of its debt, it cut the cost of gas by 1/3rd. The EU has its head in a cloud and cannot see that its structure is absurd. But to revise it now means a loss of bureaucratic jobs. Reuters has provided a decent report on Ukraine. The protests, however, were more against corruption than turning away from the EU. The government is just seen as way too corrupt and one needs to bride police and government workers for basic things right down to getting a passport.
French Strikes in Energy
The French refinery workers at Total have staged a several days of strikes over annual pay increases, with production units gradually shutting down. Workers led by the CGT union have been on strike since last Friday over annual wage negotiations. Total’s management offered annual pay rises of up to 1.5 percent, which was rejected by the CGT.
India Will Not Reverse Policy Against Gold Imports
India has announced it will not reverse its policy against gold imports.
Global Market Watch for Dec 18th
The Global Market Watch has been posted for the close of December 18th, 2013.
Interconnectivity
QUESTION: I am a professor in Physics. What you have explained in your structure of the universe inter-connectivity is really amazing. You should write about your observations for I suspect you have revealed very little of what you have actually uncovered.
JG
ANSWER: You are correct. Everything is the same structure of inter-connectivity be it biological or interaction among biological organizims. The world I see through the financial markets reveals the very essence of Adam Smith and why socialism is dying because mankind is incapable of altering the structure of human interaction. They fail to grasp human nature and assume they can alter it merely by passing laws in their own self-interest. I will try to get three important books out in 2014. I agree. I should have written these a long time ago.
2017.05 Ideal Target for the Cycle Inversion in Thinking
QUESTION: Hello Martin
So what I can understand about the potential upcoming cycle inversion is that it will not produce a phase transition in equities going into Sept 2014 but after Oct 2015.
Is that correct ?
Also when is the earliest that we will know if this phase transition will occur ?
Thank you again for your tremendous help.
R
ANSWER: It is not yet confirmed that we will have a Cycle Inversion or a Phase Transition. This will start to be decided by March dependent upon the price action in Jan/Feb. The Cycle Inversion could take place after 2015.75 or even on the next wave that peaks in 2024 followed by the 2032. A Cycle Inversion takes place normally within the last 3 waves. The ideal time for it is 31.4 years into the wave structure and that means the wave began in 1985.65 plus 31.4 years gives us 2017.05. We may have to wait until that target. How we approach that in 2014 will reveal a lot of the nature of this entire wave. We could see the start of a Cycle Inversion in 2014. It will be subtle. The thinking process will begin to change dramatically starting in January 2017. The reason I am warning we may begin to shift is because we also have the convergence of the Cycle of War in 2014.
Deutsche Bank and Magnum
QUESTION: I invested in your public funds at Deutsche Bank and Magnum. Your performance was unbelievable. Will you ever manage money again? We could really use you now.
Best regards;
GH
ANSWER: No. That is really a 7 day a week job 21 hours on call and I still have a hard time sleeping more than 3 hours straight to this day. But there are several groups that want to use the model with the asset allocation and big move technology both in Asia and the Middle East. It depends entirely upon if they are capable of management with a model of this nature. Most fund managers cannot cope with the stress and will fail to act when it is at the extreme points. I sold the dollar at 147 on the yen just before Long-Term Capital Management hit. It collapsed to 103. We made so much money in such a few days it was amazing. However, if I am convinced they have the experience with our model and the courage, then perhaps we will license it to them. But I personally am not interested in getting back into funds management on some day-to-day basis.
Turkey is on the Verge of Real Civil Unrest
There has been a clash going on between the PM Recep Tayyip Erdogan who sees himself as governing Putin Style and the rising religious factions that was to take the country to Islamic law rules by religion. Keep an eye here as well. This turn in the Cycle of War seems to be signally unrest absolutely everywhere we look.
Dow Caution Is Necessary
The Dow Jones Industrials rallied sharply with the Fed starting to taper. We have a near double top but today was a turning point and this week was also a target for a Panic Cycle which seems to be on point. However, while the market remains strong long-term, there are signs of some exhaustion starting to creep in. I the Dow cannot break to new highs and close higher tomorrow, we may still move back to retest support for Jan/Feb. A low at that time will point to a rally into the end of summer. A high in Jan/Feb in the 16650 level, could warn of a decline into that period with a rally into 2015.75. But a low, may signal the Cycle Inversion is developing now. That will warn of a very serious period between 2015.75 into 2020.05. TIME remains constant. Events and Price are the variables.