Friday, September 19, 2014

MARTIN ARMSTRONG'S LATEST BLOG POSTS

2014 International Precious Metals Outlook

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This is the most extensive report we have ever written on the metals group covering gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and copper as well as the Silver/Gold Ratio. This report illustrates the reason why gold has not risen since bull markets are defined only when an object rises in terms of ALL currencies. We have provided gold and silver expressed in US dollars, Euros, British Pounds, Australian Dollars, Canadian Dollars, Swiss Francs Japanese Yen, and the first long-term view in Chinese Yuan ever published.
Each perspective is provided in weekly to yearly level analysis with the computer trading positions as well. Each level provides the Reversals, Arrays, and Technical Analysis. We have also provided a global perspective of the arrays in a correlated manner.
The leading articles explain the difference in trend, thinking between former Communist States and the West that are important to grasp as to why the East even buys gold for they do not have the same perspective as the West, and we have provided the cyclical converge models that target the most likely weeks for the final low in gold and silver.

  • Gold in Future
  • Consequences of the Collapse in Capital Flows
  • The Future Prospects of Gold
  • Myth of Gold is the Savior
  • The Chicken of the Egg – What Comes First – Inflation of Deflation?
  • Correlations
  • When Gold & Silver Converge

We have included the convergence model in additional to the Basket of Currency Perspective that reveals the real trend. We have been able to illustrate the key weeks for the final low in gold and silver using the convergence models.
This report is global in its perspective that allows everyone from all nations to grasp the real picture for the metals group and the changing roll of gold and silver in the new age of electronic money. Here is at last the real reasons to justify gold without all the hype of fiction that has dominated the sale of precious metals for far too long. This report is the real reason why gold and silver have their place in a portfolio and it has nothing to do with the end of the world or such doom and gloom scenarios that involve the stock market will collapse over night and only gold will survive. Brushing aside all that nonsense, we finally get to the real heart and soul of real investment strategy – not fiction.
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ALLOW 3 WEEKDAYS FOR DELIVERY
These reports will need to be emailed to people so please use an email that will accept 15 meg files at max. Each report is watermarked for security reasons with your details.

Scottish Rigged Vote – Is Anything Real Any More? The Crisis in Democracy

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I have communicated directly with some Scots. I spoke to an 18 year segment to get a perspective of the youth. They used the word that they wanted a “REVOLUTION” and feel very betrayed by what they called the over “65″ crowd. This is what our model has been warning about and why this is important. Unfunded liabilities are around the global as populations enter the retirement age of the baby-boomers worldwide – post-World War II surge in births. The birth rate and marriage rate has been declining, efforts are building around the globe to encourage women to have children. In Britain, the NHS is funding a sperm bank for lesbians.Just for starters, Germany, Japan, Russia, and Taiwan are paying women to have children and the list keeps going. Why? What happened to over population? The older generation is dying off and the social programs are gauging the younger generation causing taxation to rise and the youth cannot find work.
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David Cameron basically said reading between the lines – the younger generation lost and their fate is now settled “for a generation.” This degree of arrogance is not going to be helpful. Governments will not reform and that brings us only to the point of our rising civil unrest that will rip the systems apart. No one in charge will address the long-term. They are only concerned about one vote at a time.
Now the recriminations. There is a rising tide among the YES camp that view the Scottish vote was rigged. There are videos and photographs emerging calling the votes rigged. There is special focus on Dundee where photos are circulating on Twitter and Facebook demonstrating the rigging of the election. The polling stations also accused were directly in Edinburgh. This will be like Bush stealing the election in the USA and it will linger causing tremendous resentment in Britain. The whole of Europe needed the Scottish NO vote. Since Brussels rigged the Italian elections, we cannot rule out their involvement behind the scenes yet in Scotland. This has led to so many in Scotland feeling they have been cheated and reduced to second class slaves of London and Brussels.
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International Business Times is reporting the uproar. We all have to be deeply concern given the fact that in Europe, the Commission is a dictatorship. The people can vote for a minister to be in Brussels, but the Commission does not have to abide by whatever the people want anyway. What must be understood is this is now about maintaining Brussels.They are paying themselves outrageous amounts of money for absolutely nothing. Just one EU Commissioner will get €400,000 for not working as reported by theTelegraph.
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The EU Commission was threaten by Scotland because if they won their independence, the contagion would have engulfed all of Europe and that would cost jobs in Brussels. This is not about what is good for Europe, it is what is now good for the politicians to keep their huge salaries.
Europe-Separatist Movement
The most interesting evidence of DISTRUST is the capital movement. One would expect the Euro and the pound to rally with the threat of separatism dead. Instead, The pound rallied moderately but not the Euro. Capital is clearly aware that the game is still afoot.

Our Progress Report

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To keep you all up to date, I have hired a CEO who was the head trader for many of the biggest banks over the years in Europe and the Middle East. He terminated his employment yesterday and will be joining in 2 months. I will be free to research and program. We are in discussions with others joining and some who want to join as partners to take the operation public so it continues beyond me. I have also brought in a head programmer and we are moving rapidly to porting Socrates to the Web for access but in a manner that will ensure no one will be able to hack in – which is critical.
We are looking at setting up two more sites – Spanish and Chinese. If the world is able to access the same data and see that indeed we are all connected, just maybe we can make a contribution to the future. No decisions have been made yet on those partners, but we are nearly there.
We will have Socrates set up so you can select your portfolio and it will monitor that for you. We are in the process of licensing the technology for a hedge fund. As long as I do not have to go back to trading 7 days a week, I have not problem with doing this in such a manner.

Russia Copying Obama’s Internet Kill Switch

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Next week, several activities are planned with the participation of high-ranking Russian officials on the work of the Russian segment of the Internet and to disconnect it entirely from the worldwide web in an emergency.  In particular, this topic will be discussed next Monday at a meeting of the Security Council with the participation of Russian President Vladimir Putin. Officials of the Ministry of Communications will report to the President on the results of the July exercise, the purpose of which was to test the stability of the Internet in Russia and prevent violations under unfriendly ”concerted action” or attack by the USA.

Even in Canada They Give Up Your Info

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Even in Canada, Telus is starting to resist abuse by government requesting text messages etc. They have revealed that most request are to track where someone is. Police use cell phones to find people they want these days.
The access to everything about us is becoming excessive. When they can collect all text messages and phone calls storing them forever, then they just type in your name and it is all there as Snowden has warned. This is not about terrorism, it is a hunt for money.

Adam Smith Wins – Apple Fights Back

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The free markets are everything. That is the very mechanism that drives the entire world economy – Adam Smith’s Invisible Hand. Many people have tried to control society, corner markets like Jim Fisk, or fix prices and create draconian laws. Nothing but nothing can stop the Invisible Hand for it even took down Communism and it is now hard at work taking down Socialism that we can see in the Scottish vote attempting to freedom.
Well it is also hard at work in technology. There has been huge blow-back to the NSA. They have set the world on a course of global war turning friends into enemies, but they have worked hard at the total destruction of the US economy hunting down capital and infiltrating technology to spy on everyone and everything in their paranoia Stalinist state where they just cannot sleep at night worrying someone is doing something dangerous – like free thinking.
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Apple has announced that it is making it impossible for the company to turn over data from most iPhones or iPads to police — even when they have a search warrant — taking a hard new line as tech companies attempt to blunt allegations that they have too readily participated in government efforts to collect user information.
This bold new move is the Invisible Hand for they will be driven out of business by the NSA. Even I will switch to an Apple iPhone with this news. Apple announced with the publication of a new privacy policy tied to the release of Apple’s latest mobile operating system, iOS 8, that taking an engineering solution to fight back makes sense. Instead of endless fake binding court orders that only rule in favor of government, Apple has reworked its latest encryption in a way that prevents even Apple or anyone other than the device’s owner from gaining access to the vast amount of user data stored in smartphones or in tablet computers. This is a great step and one that may send their sales soaring.

Manipulation – Here we go Again

QUESTION: Mr Armstrong, How can you say the metals are not manipulated? It is you and your people who keep shorting gold to prevent a rally.
ANSWER: The people who say that is what I say are those manipulating you. They are biased and will go down with the ship because they are married to one market and cannot see the truth if you slap them in the face. There is NOTHING that can be manipulated on a systemic basis every day. If that were true, no empire would fail, communism would have succeeded, there would be no recession since the G20 manipulates the economy, QE1-3 would not exist for the Fed could manipulate long-term rates rather than try to “influence”, and then if you really paid attention, I have stated the “club” manipulates markets for a quick buck and move from one to the next. They gun for stops in futures and cash, which is manipulation. But nobody can predict where the Dow or gold will close today to the penny because it cannot be systemically manipulated – it is called free markets.
The real question, if you want to be logical for once, those that put out this bullshit to cover-up being wrong, talk out of both sides of their mouth. If gold is perfectly and systemicallymanipulated, then it can NEVER rally again so why buy something that you can ONLYlose money on? I do not get this logic for it is not logical.
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Gold will rally to $5,000 when the timing is right – not when the bullshit gets too deep. If you cannot understand the difference between manipulating within the trend and systemicmanipulation that you claim, you should just hold dollars and not investment because you will only lose everything anyhow. Decades & all your money? This is the same stubborn attitude about those who believe in government debt. These people misquote me all the time because they refuse to admit they have been wrong. They have to attack me personally because they have nothing logical to say.
Risk Management
Get real – or get out. Those are the only choices. Just how much risk are you willing to take?  Waiting 30 years for new highs is your entire life. Buying the Dow was what – treason? Wasting decades waiting for just one market makes no sense. You have to follow the capital flow. This is about surviving – not propaganda with no purpose.
The gold report has the forecast for the turn. I will NOT state it on this blog as a matter of principle.

Scotland Sells out to the Dole

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In America, the support for Scottish Independence was overwhelming running 80%+ Scottish Flags were appearing everywhere – even in Philadelphia they hung one-off the bridge. But in Scotland where people rely upon handouts from Britain (dole), self-interest prevailed. With all 32 council areas in Scotland now declared, the No (unionist) secured 55% of the vote with Yes (independence) achieved 45%. The fate of Scotland now looks rather bleak. The turnout was the strongest in the NO camp largely because the elderly who rely on pensions were scared they would lose the dole. The total turnout was 84.5% topping 90% in pro-Union areas but dipping to the mid-70s in key Yes working-class areas.
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This is the very essence of the civil unrest that lies ahead – it is the classic Ayn Rand scenario. The working class having to support the dole. What happens if they go on strike – Atlas Shrugged. The elderly condemned the working class in Scotland to escalating taxes and a life far worse than they have enjoyed. For this very reason, we will see civil unrest rise in Scotland as it will everywhere else.
BPFOR-D 9-15-2014Yes those who have noticed how the computer picked up the election to the day without fundamentals is all based on how capital flows. The computer is capable of forecasting war and terrorist attacks based upon the flow of capital. This is what the government wanted all along. This is why they attacked Princeton Economics for that technology.
Nevertheless, the computer is not forecasting a bright future for Europe, Britain, or Scotland. It looked like a rebound was due in the markets and that was reflected only in a NO vote. Had the YES vote taken it, we would have seen a greater meltdown.
BPFOR-W 9-15-2015
We can see how there is a trend shift with next week but there should be another problem coming the first week of November.
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By no means is this over. As the economy turns down, the tensions between the workers who have to pay taxes and those who rely upon government taking from them legally, will reach a head. As they say – it ain’t over ’til the fat lady sings.

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