Saturday, December 20, 2014


Banks Win Again – They Have Delayed (Repealed) the Volcker Rule


Signing of Dodd-Frank – Now Virtually Repealed/Gutted
The NY money center Banks won again in Washington, the second time in a single month. They succeeded in repealing Dodd-Frank and have now succeeded in repealing the Volcker Rule, which it is officially put on “delay” that will be permanent. The Federal Reserve has repealed the Volcker Rule that will let the highly speculative banks hold onto billions of dollars in private-equity and hedge-fund investments for at least two more years until it is delayed again if not just forgotten about silently.
The Fed granted the delay yesterday after banks argued selling their vast positions quickly might force them to accept discount prices. The irony in this is that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has $11.4 billion in private-equity funds, hedge funds and similar investments, while Morgan Stanley has $5 billion, securities current filings show. But Goldman became a “bank” only to get in line for bailouts. They are not a real bank with branch offices taking deposits from little old ladies. They became a “bank” to accept a bailout. Now as a bank, they are altering the entire banking system because they are traders – not bankers. JP Morgan want to be more and more like Goldman Sachs. This is destroying the entire banking system.
Speculating is NOT what a bank was supposed to do. Banks were to lend money to build the economy – not speculate for profit. Goldman Sachs should be returned to an investment bank and JP Morgan should be told to choose – sell all its branches and stop taking deposits becoming an Investment Bank or stop the speculation and be a damn bank.
Dollar Vortex
These politicians are up for sale and that is the entire problem. Indeed, the banks virtually rent space on the floor of Congress. They own the building and almost everyone inside. Nobody gives a damn about the future of the economy and the nation just how much will the banks give them to keep office.
We are headed into another crisis of greater proportions because NY money center banks are no longer about “RELATIONSHIPS”but a free-for-all based solely on TRANSACTION oriented business. One deal to the next without any long-term strategy. We are headed into a vortex that may kill the dollar as the reserve currency on the next decline because the banks will blow up big time on this next round.

Dow Jones today Dec 19th, 2007

DJIND-W 12-15-2014

The Dow elected only the Daily Bearish on Monday not last Friday which was also a Weekly. Therefore, no Weekly Bearish has been elected leaving 17235 intact. Hence, a closing today above 17,758 today will be an indicator that higher highs are yet to be made. A closing above 17970 will signal a breakout to upside.
We can see that the technical overhead resistance still remain in the 18300 level. It still appears we are headed higher into 2015. The key in the mid 18000 range. Exceeding that opens the door to the 23,000 level and exceed that could lead to a major Phase Transition into the 2017-2018 period  as capital flees government debt everywhere and runs to the private asset sector.

Friday, December 19, 2014





Japan Considering Exit Tax to Leave the Country

The trend on a global basis is getting really scary. Our forecasts have been computer generated and are by no means my PERSON opinion of what I would like to see. This is getting to be really horrible as government simply go after more and more money without any consideration what happens when you have extorted everyone and there is nothing left?  Japan is now moving to become the latest country to consider taxing wealthy individuals who move abroad to take advantage of lower rates or to simply guard their freedom.
Governments look upon the people as the great unwashed. We were born to serve their special interests and have no rights even to exist. What we earn and produce belongs to government and we should be grateful that they allow us to play with some toys. Now the Japanese ruling party lawmakers are proposing an “exit tax” under which people with over ¥100 million ($857,000) in financial assets would have to pay a tax on any unrealized capital gains on those assets if they moved out of Japan.
We are economic slaves – nothing more.

Deep Learning Analytics v Random Walk

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, my son came home from university for the the holidays. To my shock, we had our first intelligent conversation about the economy. He mentioned two things that opened my eyes very wide. First, he mentioned you and then said he believed what he read about random walk theory in school you have proven was wrong. When I asked him how did he come to discover your site, he said Google suggestions put you even ahead of Bloomberg. Do you have any intention in providing a text book that could be used to teach the next generation about the real world?
Thanks for all the amazing work you are contributing for free. You are helping the next generation and for Google to pick your site up in its recommendations demonstrates you are making a major impact.
Merry Christmas
ANSWER: That is interesting. One of our staff members just showed me the same thing. Google recommended our site for reading in finance and economics. My priority is in getting Socrates up. We are trying for January 1st. We have taken this beyond the “industry” notion of Artificial Intelligence. This is really a break through insofar as what we have accomplished. You will soon see the world as never before mapped out before your eyes.
I just finished writing a piece of code yesterday that has been 6 months of work to get to this point in an antilogarithm. I have been staring at a computer screen so much I am starting to need glasses to read. This is so unique we decided to call this technology Deep Learning Analytics for this is embarking not just on mimicking human intelligence, this is taking it one step beyond where we areexceeding the human capabilities of understanding. Accomplishing something extremely important is my goal that will revolutionize our comprehension of how the global economy even operates.

You are about to see the world moving before your eyes like never before. When this project is completed, then I have several books being edited right now. But I have no plans for a text book yet. I really have so much to accomplish I am not sure if I had two lifetimes left it would be enough to finish.
Forest-Masked Chaos
Suffice it to say, those who popularized Random Walk were incapable to seeing the patterns masked by chaos. This is what Socrates is accomplishing. This is now well beyond human understanding for it can see what people are blind to, yet bring it down into a comprehensible forecast that will then expand your own mind as you learn to see what others cannot.

Obama to Sign More Sanctions on Russia

Jason Furman
President Barack Obama intends to sign a bill that would hammer even new sanctions on Russia and provide weapons to Ukraine. The legislation would impose sanctions on Russian defense companies tied to unrest in Ukraine. White House spokesman Josh Earnest said Obama “does intend to sign” the bill despite some concerns about the legislation. Separately, Jason Furman, chairman of Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, told reporters Russia’s economic problems are of its “own making” but downplayed their effect on the U.S. economy. Clearly, Furman is unfamiliar with international economics for he cannot see that this is a worldwide crash in emerging markets.
The Pimco fund for emerging markets held Russian government and corporate bonds in the amount of 800 million US dollars. The fund has lost nine percent of its value on the last Monday alone. The sanctions against Russia have impacted almost every sector including manufacture and agriculture.
Even in Europe, the Russian Crisis is hitting European companies in all industries. The petroleum giant BP and Even BP-rival Royal Dutch Shell are involved in Russian projects. Then there were a European companies manufacturing cloths and leather jackets for the Russian market that have had the rug pulled out from beneath them first with the sanctions and now with the collapse in the ruble. European famers have been wiped out by the Russian sanctions.

Poland Rejecting Adopting the Euro


Never was the rejection of Poland against the euro so strong. The Polish people fear that above all, they would suffer from the introduction of the Euro. The general feeling now among the majority is that the Euro would be socially a disaster. The Government of Poland would need indeed to hold a referendum to introduce the euro. But given the growing skepticism against the Euro it is so hard to come by in Parliament. Members within the Polish Parliament have protested various measures holding up the now famous Anonymous Mask.