Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Brooklyn Woman On Ebola Monitoring List Drops Dead Bleeding From "Face, Mouth, Nose"

Just a week after Dr. Craig Spencer was declared 'Ebola-free', The Daily Mail reports a woman, who had arrived from Guinea 18 days ago (and was on the NYC Ebola monitoring list), dropped dead in a Brooklyn hair salon this afternoon. FDNY sent their Special Operations and Hazmat units but she was declared dead at the scene. Witnesses said she was bleeding from the "face, nose, mouth, everything."

Ukraine Admits Its Gold Is Gone: "There Is Almost No Gold Left In The Central Bank Vault"

Back in March we reported of a strange incident that took place just after the Ukraine presidential coup, namely that according to at least one source, "in a mysterious operation under the cover of night, Ukraine's gold reserves were promptly loaded onboard an unmarked plane, which subsequently took the gold to the US."  Needless to say there was no official confirmation of any of this taking place, and in fact our report, in which we mused if the "price of Ukraine's liberation" was the handover of its gold to the Fed at a time when Germany was actively seeking to repatriate its own physical gold located at the bedrock of the NY Fed, led to the usual mainstream media mockery. Until now. In an interview on Ukraine TV, none other than the head of the Ukraine Central Bank made the stunning admission that "in the vaults of the central bank there is almost no gold left. There is a small amount of gold bullion left, but it's just 1% of the gold reserves."


West v Russia – Who is to Blame? It Maybe Just Basic Psychology

Hello Mr Armstrong,
I do respect your analysis, experience and what you do yet there is something that doesn’t fit with the independency you claim. You blame Obama and western leaders for acting like kids while you are rather silent about Putin merely just stating that he is forced to act the way he does and if there would be any escalation of the war/conflict in Ukraine then US are the one to be blamed.
Being from ex-communist Czech Republic, we do have bunch of experience with “poor me/gotta protect our space” Russian approach since WWII, and if there’s at least some truth in what Suvorov writes, the history of even WWII should be rewriten.
During the communism our army (and I guess the entire east block since everybody followed what Moscow said) prepared for defence from the “evil” capitalists. Interesting is that we practiced the defense at the Rhine river! Which is basically the western boarders of then Western Germany. So we would have to first conquer that place before we could defend it! So much for defending ourselves against the “evil” capitalists.. Seems to me more like we would be the aggressors striking first..
Seems to me that Putin smells the weakness of the US now and tests what he can do. You wrote that Putin understands power only and sees power in the land. Bigger land, better for the country.
Putin comes and takes Krym, not much happened. He stirs the pot in Ukraine, pretending he is not there, not much happened. He flies airplanes around, pretends he strikes and not much happens. That to me spells troubles, because he can see that as weakness and can continue with his expansion.
And before you know it, he can take all the Europe. Doing basically what Hitler did, one step at a time, testing if the world leaders would act. They didn’t so he continued taking..till they no longer could ignore him hoping he will just stop.
What makes Putin different? You wrote that war basically is the way to shift the focus of citizens from the domestic economical problems. So how does that make Obama faulty? If Putin would be after respect, wouldn’t he gain it way easier restructuring his country? Why blame Obama? What he can do to make Putin “rest” his case?
If Obama is acting like a kid, doesn’t Putin behaves the same even worse?
Again, I really appreciate the work you do, the blog you do and who you are, even though you could just retire, but I don’t understand why you are so silent about Putin while blaming Obama that he might just escalate the war. I’d really like to understand that difference.
Seems to me the only solution would be to show power to Putin to back him off, wouldn’t it? Something that JFK did during the Cuban crisis.
Thank you,
REPLY: What you have laid out is correct. Sometimes I skip over things because they are obvious to me from working in the political economy. The REASON I blame Obama and Western Leaders is not that Putin is correct, it is that they do not understand how to even negotiate. Trying to bully Putin is the the wrong approach and refusing to speak or showing contempt to even shake hands is only putting his back against the wall in a VERY PUBLIC manner. Do that and then he MUSTbecome aggressive or appear weak at home.  What you say in private is one thing. The way they treated Putin at the G20 in public was childish and completely unproductive.
Yes on the one hand you can show force. But quite frankly, the West is broke and has no stomach for hand to hand combat. Putin can smell the blood and yes, he could take all of Europe faster than most people realize. The ONLY way to have dealt with this was to split Ukraine voluntarily and allow the people to move on a subsidized basis. Putin needed a victory and refusing that invites war.
G20 passed the point of no return. We are in a full-blown confrontation now and historians will look back upon this meeting and criticize the so-called “world leaders” who do not understand the first thing about politics. Confront a politician publicly and you get resistance. We have Guber-Gate. Obama lied and said he never heard about him and then tapes come showing he named him as one of the four people he relied upon for Obamacare. Obama was stupid to lie, but this is the problem. Confront a politician publicly and you get that posture. It was brain-deadnot to negotiate behind closed doors. Trying to the pipeline through Syria to cut Russia off from the European market was really bad form. The West has been trying to get Putin overthrown and to circumvent its ability to service the European energy market. This was a stupid agenda.
The West could have defused this crisis by a settlement allowing the Russian speaking region of Ukraine to return back to Russia putting a feather in Putin’s cap. Then, you open Russia economically and strength the people of Russia to enable them to see that joining the world economy is better. That prevents war not politicians. Now we have bitter feuds and hatred growing among the Russian people. This type of settlement would have disarmed Putin. You MUST give something to get something – it cannot never be one-sided. The West has strengthen Putin ensuring he cannot now back down without losing face at home. Russia is now the image of Putin – huge mistake the West has created.
The strategy to isolate Putin is a total failure of negotiation. Whatever Putin’s personal desires were for empire, become secondary without the support of the Russian people. China has stated the reality very clearly – “we need each other”. Get the economies integrated and you will reduce war.
You cannot ever impose dictatorial power as attempt in Europe with the EU. This will always, and without exception, create unrest. The EU mistake is thinking one government will prevent war. That seeks to force down the throat of different cultures a one-size-fits-all approach. That is the mistake of the EU design. They are creating war within Europe by their dictatorial powers and not respecting the different cultures of the member states. They cannot create the United States of Europe by force.
Russia presents the same problem. Recognize the people of Russia and embrace them into the global economy and their own self-interest will keep government in check. China is wise and it understands this very issue. Rome allowed each region to keep their culture and gods. That is among the list of things that made the Roman Empire last for a 1,000 years.
Sorry if I skip over things from time to time. That is the hard part in writing this blog. It is like just speaking in technical terms like GDP and CPI are ok for most people, but not all. The assumption on my part that I am talking about a failure of leadership is wrong without explaining perhaps in detail.
Russia’s conquest of the Eastern European nations was its empire building days like the British Empire. That was based upon the oil theory that size is greatness. Putin still thinks in those terms and emails on our Russian site show there are many who blindly think that expanding Russia makes the country strong again. That is 18th century thinking. Japan proved that Adam Smith was correct – the wealth of a nation is not the amount of gold as Spain demonstrated or land mass the colonial era demonstrated, but the total productive capacity of its people. That is what back any currency – its capacity to produce. Switzerland gave up its comparative advantage and it will now decline. If some remote island of primitive native became rich because a meteor of gold crashed to earth, that will not make the people smart or productive – just rich. Spain used its money to buy everything and pay Frenchman to work. It failed to invest is expanding its domestic productive capacity. When the gold ran out, Spain collapsed from the richest to one of the poorest.
Russia needs this lesson and that can only be accomplished by embracing Russia and expanding its economy. Not trying to circumvent its energy or trying to make it stand in the corner with a dunce hat.

Governments All Know What is Coming – They Want to Disarm the People

Now the security commission of the Swiss parliament decided (ok, just by 13:12 but they did) to go after all private arms owners to force them to register every weapon. Even the ones which had been bought long ago meaning just before the banking crisis outbreak 2008 :-) - when there was no registration before.
It’s everywhere the same. Governments know what is coming towards them. Rather than reform – they are digging in their heels.

Republicans Support NSA Seizing ALL Telephone Calls


Republicans killed any hope of restraining the NSA. They too want to shake you down for takes under the pretense of looking for terrorists which is why they got caught tapping even Merkel’s cell phone. This is why we need a 3rd Party.Republicans are simply brain-dead. They cannot see that the NSA has cost American all dignity and respect outside the country no less violated every principle upon which this country was founded. Anyone who things throwing the pro-government Democrats out of office will save the country or change anything – sorry your are dead wrong. It does not matter what party is in power, they will always vote for more power. Ben Franklin must be rolling in his grace at such treason.


The Dow – Starting a Cycle Inversion?

DJIND-D 11-19-2014

The golden rule of trading is just this -
What goes sideways when it should move up or down, moves in the opposite direction even stronger.
Where we achieved the temp low in gold on the target week of 11/03, the Dow has moved sideways and is crawling along resistance. Given the G20 position of walking away from bank bailouts, leaving the Cyprus bail-in solution still open, smart money is starting to move off the grid in a very big way. We are tracking capital flows very closely right now. It appears this target on the Cycle of War has an impact.
Of course, then we have the really brain-dead behavior of world leaders acting as if this is high school – Don’t talk to Putin or shake his hand because he didn’t do what I told him to do! With such immature behavior on the part of this Gang of 20 pretending to be world leaders, I have never seen such stupidity. I was just asked are there any world leaders with whom I could have a serious discussion? My reply – no! I have yet to meet anyone since Maggie Thatcher who was smart enough to talk about real strategy without a teleprompter or aids explaining in an ear piece. This seems to be what the bureaucracy wants. While the cat is suffering from dementia, the mice can play.
DJFOR-W 11-19-2014
The Dow is crawling along daily resistance. Timing should have worked normally. A high in November should have been followed by a drop back into the week of 12/15. What will not go down, only goes up. If we close higher this week and see new highs next week, it looks like we are headed into the low 18,000 level on the Dow by mid December.
DJIND-W 11-19-2014

We have the seasonal turning point of January. The key resistance is at the 18133 to 18200 level as the weeks move forward. This has been the top of the Primary Breakout Channel from the ECM turn back in 2011. This channel has performed perfectly containing everything up and down. If we start to break out above this channel and close above it on a weekly basis, this is the warning that we may see the Dow at the 23000-26000 by next September. Exceeding that area will warn of a possible real blast in a Phase Transition that can take the Dow up to 40,000-43,000.
Fundamentally, who knows. There are too many variables to nail it down to just even a few reasons. We have the Sovereign Debt Crisis, the potential for international war, and major civil unrest. YET this is just the beginning. Add in pensions, bank failures, G20, and a host of other reasons, and some people will respond to one type of event while others will select a different fundamental. This is what is wrong with those who try to predict the trend with fundamentals. They reduce it to one reason and it never can be just one. We are not robots. Everyone will respond appropriately based upon their view.
So pay attention. What will not go down when the cycles shift, inverts and rises even further. There is always a reason for what markets do – you just have to pay very close attention. This is why I have been warning a cycle inversion is coming. We may be in that process now starting from November 19th/20th.

Russia Building up Troops Inside and on the Border of Ukraine

Since the Western Leaders snubbed Putin, NATO has seen on Tuesday a serious Russian military buildup both inside Ukraine and on the Russian side of the border. NATO has come out and urged Moscow to pull back its troops. Putin has now been force into a confrontation but a bunch or really stupid lawyer masquerading as world leaders. These people are leading the world into confrontation perhaps deliberately to escape from their pending debt defaults. If Putin blunt launches an invasion outright this week, this will be the start of a much bigger geopolitical event.

Daily Monitoring of Global Capital Flows Coming On Line


We will be launching the visual world map of global capital flows that we are tracking each day. Proprietary feeds are up and running so now you will be able to see the movement of capital on a worldwide basis. This will be the first time clients will be able to see what Socrates really has behind the veil. He is plugged into the entire world.

The Movie – the Forecaster – It’s About the Manipulations That Have Plagued Society which will Shock the World

Forecaster Plakat A2 FINAL 18.11.2014 DRUCK (Andere)
Arm-Crest(2)I am off to Amsterdam to attend the premier of the Forecaster. My detractors “assume” this is a movie about “me”. I have not even seen the final film. That is not what I agreed to. This is not a film about my life story. This is a film about the industry, market manipulations, and the consequences that we face. That is what I agreed to do. This is a film that impacts everyone. We certainly do not need another BS“poor me” victim movie. There are plenty of sad stories to go make movies about. This is a film about the very issues that so many have suspected and speculated about. Being Scottish in heritage, my family crest states my spirit – I Remain Un-vanquished at home. So I do not need a movie for sympathy. That would be rather boring and besides, what was done to me has had the opposite effect. Many now see this as proof that I was not part of the high-flying crowd of manipulators.
I am told this film is coming at the perfect time and it has reached blockbuster status in Europe because of its message. Hopefully, this will put pressure upon governments to stop the nonsense and do the right thing – if just for once.