Thursday, October 29, 2015

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Market Talk – October 29, 2015

Trading Community
A mixed session out of Asia with not one market providing a clear sense of direction! The Nikkei and Shanghai spent the day flip-flopping between red and black whilst the Hang Seng saw selling throughout the day. All core European Indices returned negative performances today with declines between -0.2% and 0.6%. The U.S. opened weaker after yesterday afternoon’s bounce with some profit-taking ahead of PMI and Sentiment tomorrow in what has been a reasonably heavy stats week. Worth mentioning here is that tomorrow we also see Eurozone inflation where expectations are for a 0 (zero) print with previous being -0.1%.
Commodities had a fairly dull day today with oil only marginally firmer at $46.10 (TWI). Gold, on the other hand, was not the flavor of the day, rejecting all attempts to rally earlier in the day and was last seen trading $1146.
Bonds on both sides of the Atlantic were weak with U.S. 10s losing 8bp and bunds 9bp. US 10s have had problems with the psychological 2% barrier for a while now and still remains on elusive ground. The spread TY/RX closed this evening at +160bp. The curve steepened in the sell-off with 2/10 closing +143bp and 10/30’s at +80bp (that puts 30’s around the 2.95%).
The euro recovered a little of yesterday’s loss (last seen at 1.0978), as did GBP. These gains managed to turn the DXY negative on the day -0.5% at 97.35.
We heard a lot of talk today of the Philips Curve (measuring employment with inflation) and whether the Fed is actually looking at domestic or indeed international matters. One dealer concerned with the Fed has been referring more to markets more than domestic data!

Nigel Farage Compares EU to Former USSR

According to Nigel, Portugal’s refusal to allow a democratically elected party to take office because of their anti-euro views is the “final straw” for the failed European project. Brussels has turned the EU into a dictatorship because they reject any process that disagrees with them. Like all dictators, they argue that they know better and that the people just do not understand what is good for them.

Indonesia’s Peat Fires Exceed Emissions from the Entire U.S. Economy

Indonesia-Peak-Fires
GlobalGHGEmissionsBySourceGreenhouse gas emissions that are coming out of the peat fires in Borneo and Sumatra have now exceeded all the emissions from the entire U.S. economy. This is the latest report from the University of Amsterdam. The greenhouse issue is not as simple as cars. They also say that those arising from livestock are 14% and also exceed those created by cars, which is 13%.

Britain Uses Terrorist Law to Seize BBC Journalist’s Laptop

newsnight-2-bbc
The Terrorism Act in Britain has been used to seize the laptop of a BBC journalist who  produced a series of reports on British-born jihadis. As always, police never have any restraint in what they do. They are brain-dead and do not grasp that if they go down this road of grabbing journalists’ computers to see who their contacts are, nobody will ever talk to one again. They are destroying important conduits of information because they cannot see beyond their nose.

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